{"id":60973,"date":"2026-07-27T19:28:05","date_gmt":"2026-07-27T17:28:05","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/alertes-meteo.com\/?p=60973"},"modified":"2026-07-27T22:15:35","modified_gmt":"2026-07-27T20:15:35","slug":"ecart-a-la-moyenne-des-temperatures-en-fevrier-depuis-1921-en-france-une-evolution-climatique-marquee","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/alertes-meteo.com\/index.php\/2026\/07\/27\/ecart-a-la-moyenne-des-temperatures-en-fevrier-depuis-1921-en-france-une-evolution-climatique-marquee\/","title":{"rendered":"\u00c9cart \u00e0 la moyenne des temp\u00e9ratures en f\u00e9vrier depuis 1921 en France : une \u00e9volution climatique marqu\u00e9e"},"content":{"rendered":"
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\u00c9cart \u00e0 la moyenne des temp\u00e9ratures en f\u00e9vrier depuis 1921 (France)<\/h2>\n

Normale de r\u00e9f\u00e9rence 1991-2020<\/p>\n <\/div>\n\n

\n Cliquez sur une barre pour afficher l\u2019ann\u00e9e et l\u2019\u00e9cart \u00e0 la normale.\n <\/div>\n\n
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\n \n Anomalies de temp\u00e9rature en f\u00e9vrier en France, de 1921 \u00e0 2026<\/title>\n <desc id=\"amf-desc\">\n Histogramme des \u00e9carts \u00e0 la normale 1991-2020. Les valeurs positives sont rouges\n et les valeurs n\u00e9gatives sont bleues. Chaque barre est interactive.\n <\/desc>\n <\/svg>\n <div class=\"amf-tooltip\" data-amf-tooltip role=\"status\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/div>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n\n <div class=\"amf-legend\" aria-label=\"L\u00e9gende\">\n <span><i class=\"amf-dot amf-dot-positive\"><\/i> Plus chaud que la normale<\/span>\n <span><i class=\"amf-dot amf-dot-negative\"><\/i> Plus froid que la normale<\/span>\n <\/div>\n\n <p class=\"amf-source\">Source : M\u00e9t\u00e9o-France \u2022 Normale climatologique 1991-2020<\/p>\n<\/div>\n\n<style>\n .amf-widget,\n .amf-widget * {\n box-sizing: border-box;\n }\n\n .amf-widget {\n --amf-red: #e85236;\n --amf-red-dark: #bd321d;\n --amf-blue: #5c9ae3;\n --amf-blue-dark: #2567b3;\n --amf-grid: #dfe4ea;\n --amf-ink: #17202a;\n --amf-muted: #59636e;\n width: 100%;\n max-width: 1180px;\n margin: 24px auto;\n padding: clamp(18px, 3vw, 32px);\n overflow: hidden;\n color: var(--amf-ink);\n background: #ffffff;\n border: 1px solid #e8ebef;\n border-radius: 18px;\n box-shadow: 0 12px 34px rgba(23, 32, 42, 0.09);\n font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif;\n }\n\n .amf-header h2 {\n margin: 0;\n font-size: clamp(21px, 2.6vw, 31px);\n line-height: 1.18;\n letter-spacing: -0.02em;\n }\n\n .amf-header p {\n margin: 8px 0 0;\n color: var(--amf-muted);\n font-size: 15px;\n }\n\n .amf-selection {\n min-height: 49px;\n margin: 20px 0 12px;\n padding: 12px 15px;\n color: #34404c;\n background: #f5f7fa;\n border-left: 4px solid #8995a3;\n border-radius: 9px;\n font-size: 15px;\n line-height: 1.4;\n }\n\n .amf-selection strong {\n color: var(--amf-ink);\n }\n\n .amf-selection.is-positive {\n background: #fff3f0;\n border-left-color: var(--amf-red);\n }\n\n .amf-selection.is-negative {\n background: #eff6ff;\n border-left-color: var(--amf-blue);\n }\n\n .amf-selection.is-neutral {\n background: #f5f7fa;\n border-left-color: #707b86;\n }\n\n .amf-scroll {\n width: 100%;\n overflow-x: auto;\n overflow-y: hidden;\n scrollbar-color: #aeb7c2 #edf0f3;\n scrollbar-width: thin;\n -webkit-overflow-scrolling: touch;\n }\n\n .amf-stage {\n position: relative;\n width: 100%;\n min-width: 900px;\n }\n\n .amf-svg {\n display: block;\n width: 100%;\n height: auto;\n overflow: visible;\n touch-action: pan-x pan-y;\n }\n\n .amf-grid-line {\n stroke: var(--amf-grid);\n stroke-width: 1;\n vector-effect: non-scaling-stroke;\n }\n\n .amf-zero-line {\n stroke: #1c2732;\n stroke-width: 1.7;\n vector-effect: non-scaling-stroke;\n }\n\n .amf-y-label,\n .amf-x-label,\n .amf-axis-unit {\n fill: #68727d;\n font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif;\n }\n\n .amf-y-label {\n font-size: 13px;\n text-anchor: end;\n dominant-baseline: middle;\n }\n\n .amf-x-label {\n font-size: 11px;\n text-anchor: middle;\n }\n\n .amf-axis-unit {\n font-size: 12px;\n font-weight: 700;\n }\n\n .amf-bar {\n cursor: pointer;\n outline: none;\n }\n\n .amf-bar-visible {\n transition: opacity 0.14s ease, filter 0.14s ease;\n shape-rendering: geometricPrecision;\n }\n\n .amf-bar:hover .amf-bar-visible,\n .amf-bar:focus .amf-bar-visible,\n .amf-bar.is-selected .amf-bar-visible {\n opacity: 1;\n filter: brightness(0.83);\n }\n\n .amf-bar:focus-visible .amf-bar-visible {\n stroke: #111820;\n stroke-width: 2;\n vector-effect: non-scaling-stroke;\n }\n\n .amf-hit-area {\n fill: transparent;\n pointer-events: all;\n }\n\n .amf-tooltip {\n position: absolute;\n z-index: 4;\n width: max-content;\n max-width: 235px;\n padding: 10px 12px;\n color: #ffffff;\n background: rgba(18, 25, 33, 0.96);\n border-radius: 9px;\n box-shadow: 0 8px 24px rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.22);\n font-size: 13px;\n line-height: 1.35;\n pointer-events: none;\n opacity: 0;\n transform: translate(-50%, calc(-100% - 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25,\n class: \"amf-x-label\"\n });\n label.textContent = year;\n labelsGroup.appendChild(label);\n });\n svg.appendChild(labelsGroup);\n\n svg.addEventListener(\"click\", (event) => {\n if (event.target === svg || event.target.classList.contains(\"amf-grid-line\")) {\n removeSelection();\n hideTooltip();\n }\n });\n });\n })();\n<\/script>\n<div class=\"fusion-text fusion-text-1\"><p>Le mois de f\u00e9vrier marque souvent la transition entre le c\u0153ur de l’hiver et les premiers signes du printemps. En France, l’analyse des \u00e9carts \u00e0 la moyenne des temp\u00e9ratures depuis 1921 met en \u00e9vidence une \u00e9volution significative du climat. Si des \u00e9pisodes de froid intense restent possibles, les donn\u00e9es montrent que les mois de f\u00e9vrier sont devenus globalement plus doux au fil des d\u00e9cennies.<\/p>\n<h2>Une hausse progressive des temp\u00e9ratures en f\u00e9vrier<\/h2>\n<h3>Des anomalies de plus en plus positives<\/h3>\n<p>L’\u00e9cart \u00e0 la moyenne, appel\u00e9 aussi <strong>anomalie de temp\u00e9rature<\/strong>, mesure la diff\u00e9rence entre la temp\u00e9rature observ\u00e9e et la normale climatique de r\u00e9f\u00e9rence. Depuis 1921, les relev\u00e9s montrent une alternance de mois plus froids et plus doux jusqu’aux ann\u00e9es 1980.<\/p>\n<p>Depuis cette p\u00e9riode, les anomalies positives sont devenues nettement plus fr\u00e9quentes. Les mois de f\u00e9vrier affichent d\u00e9sormais r\u00e9guli\u00e8rement des temp\u00e9ratures sup\u00e9rieures aux normales saisonni\u00e8res, confirmant une tendance durable au r\u00e9chauffement climatique en France.<\/p>\n<h3>Pourquoi cette \u00e9volution est-elle importante ?<\/h3>\n<p>Le r\u00e9chauffement observ\u00e9 en f\u00e9vrier influence de nombreux domaines :<\/p>\n<ul data-spread=\"false\">\n<li>une diminution des \u00e9pisodes de froid prolong\u00e9s ;<\/li>\n<li>une fonte plus pr\u00e9coce du manteau neigeux en montagne ;<\/li>\n<li>un red\u00e9marrage plus rapide de la v\u00e9g\u00e9tation ;<\/li>\n<li>des cons\u00e9quences sur l’agriculture, la biodiversit\u00e9 et les ressources en eau.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Ces changements s’inscrivent dans une \u00e9volution climatique observ\u00e9e \u00e0 l’\u00e9chelle nationale et europ\u00e9enne.<\/p>\n<\/div><script async src=\"https:\/\/pagead2.googlesyndication.com\/pagead\/js\/adsbygoogle.js?client=ca-pub-8902396130105212\"\n crossorigin=\"anonymous\"><\/script>\n<!-- bas de page -->\n<ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\n style=\"display:block\"\n data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-8902396130105212\"\n data-ad-slot=\"7724440717\"\n data-ad-format=\"auto\"\n data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\n<script>\n (adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\n<\/script><div class=\"fusion-text fusion-text-2\"><h2><\/h2>\n<h2>Comment interpr\u00e9ter les \u00e9carts \u00e0 la moyenne ?<\/h2>\n<p class=\"isSelectedEnd\">Une anomalie positive ne signifie pas que tout le mois a \u00e9t\u00e9 exceptionnellement doux. Des vagues de froid peuvent toujours survenir, mais la temp\u00e9rature moyenne du mois reste sup\u00e9rieure \u00e0 la normale climatique.<\/p>\n<p class=\"isSelectedEnd\">\u00c0 l’inverse, une anomalie n\u00e9gative traduit un mois plus froid que la moyenne, un ph\u00e9nom\u00e8ne devenu moins fr\u00e9quent au cours des derni\u00e8res d\u00e9cennies.<\/p>\n<h2>FAQ<\/h2>\n<h3>Que repr\u00e9sente un \u00e9cart \u00e0 la moyenne des temp\u00e9ratures ?<\/h3>\n<p class=\"isSelectedEnd\">Il s’agit de la diff\u00e9rence entre la temp\u00e9rature moyenne observ\u00e9e et la normale climatique calcul\u00e9e sur une p\u00e9riode de r\u00e9f\u00e9rence.<\/p>\n<h3>Pourquoi f\u00e9vrier se r\u00e9chauffe-t-il ?<\/h3>\n<p class=\"isSelectedEnd\">Cette \u00e9volution est principalement li\u00e9e au r\u00e9chauffement climatique mondial, qui modifie progressivement les temp\u00e9ratures moyennes observ\u00e9es en France.<\/p>\n<h3>Peut-il encore neiger en f\u00e9vrier ?<\/h3>\n<p class=\"isSelectedEnd\">Oui. Malgr\u00e9 une tendance au r\u00e9chauffement, f\u00e9vrier peut encore conna\u00eetre des \u00e9pisodes neigeux et des vagues de froid parfois marqu\u00e9es.<\/p>\n<h3>Depuis quand observe-t-on cette hausse ?<\/h3>\n<p class=\"isSelectedEnd\">Les anomalies positives deviennent particuli\u00e8rement fr\u00e9quentes \u00e0 partir des ann\u00e9es 1980.<\/p>\n<h3>Les temp\u00e9ratures continueront-elles d’augmenter ?<\/h3>\n<p class=\"isSelectedEnd\">Les projections climatiques indiquent une poursuite de la hausse des temp\u00e9ratures hivernales, m\u00eame si des variations importantes d’une ann\u00e9e \u00e0 l’autre resteront possibles.<\/p>\n<h2>Conclusion<\/h2>\n<p class=\"isSelectedEnd\">L’\u00e9volution des temp\u00e9ratures en f\u00e9vrier depuis 1921 met en \u00e9vidence une tendance claire au r\u00e9chauffement en France. Les \u00e9carts positifs \u00e0 la moyenne sont aujourd’hui plus fr\u00e9quents qu’au cours du si\u00e8cle dernier, illustrant les transformations du climat observ\u00e9es \u00e0 long terme.<\/p>\n<h2>Consultez nos analyses climatiques<\/h2>\n<p>D\u00e9couvrez nos graphiques interactifs, nos statistiques climatiques, nos <a href=\"https:\/\/alertes-meteo.com\/index.php\/2026\/07\/27\/previsions-saisonnieres\/\">pr\u00e9visions saisonni\u00e8res<\/a> et nos analyses m\u00e9t\u00e9o pour suivre l’\u00e9volution des temp\u00e9ratures en France et mieux comprendre les tendances climatiques actuelles.<\/p>\n<\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":60975,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_seopress_titles_title":"\u00c9cart \u00e0 la moyenne des temp\u00e9ratures en f\u00e9vrier en France depuis 1921 : \u00e9volution et anomalies climatiques","_seopress_titles_desc":"Analysez l'\u00e9volution des temp\u00e9ratures en f\u00e9vrier en France depuis 1921 et d\u00e9couvrez les \u00e9carts \u00e0 la moyenne qui illustrent le r\u00e9chauffement climatique.","_seopress_robots_index":"","_seopress_robots_follow":"","_seopress_robots_imageindex":"","_seopress_robots_snippet":"","_seopress_robots_primary_cat":"","_seopress_robots_breadcrumbs":"","_seopress_robots_freeze_modified_date":"","_seopress_robots_custom_modified_date":"","_seopress_robots_canonical":"","_seopress_social_fb_title":"","_seopress_social_fb_desc":"","_seopress_social_fb_img":"","_seopress_social_fb_img_attachment_id":0,"_seopress_social_fb_img_width":0,"_seopress_social_fb_img_height":0,"_seopress_social_twitter_title":"","_seopress_social_twitter_desc":"","_seopress_social_twitter_img":"","_seopress_social_twitter_img_attachment_id":0,"_seopress_social_twitter_img_width":0,"_seopress_social_twitter_img_height":0,"_seopress_redirections_value":"","_seopress_redirections_enabled":"","_seopress_redirections_enabled_regex":"","_seopress_redirections_logged_status":"both","_seopress_redirections_param":"","_seopress_redirections_type":301,"_seopress_analysis_target_kw":"Pyr\u00e9n\u00e9es-Orientales,Pr\u00e9visionM\u00e9t\u00e9o,M\u00c9T\u00c9O DU JOUR","footnotes":""},"categories":[80,170],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-60973","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-actualite","category-climatologie"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/alertes-meteo.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/60973","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/alertes-meteo.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/alertes-meteo.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/alertes-meteo.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/alertes-meteo.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=60973"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/alertes-meteo.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/60973\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":60974,"href":"https:\/\/alertes-meteo.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/60973\/revisions\/60974"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/alertes-meteo.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/60975"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/alertes-meteo.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=60973"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/alertes-meteo.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=60973"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/alertes-meteo.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=60973"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}